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Opinion : Guest Commentary


Dusty Babitzke: Don’t get burned by ‘hot’ stocks

Jul 23, 2008, 15:46

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Summer is officially here, which means, among other things, that you should apply sunscreen when you go out in the hot sun. But no matter the season, you’ll also need to protect yourself from another potential source of burns — “hot” stocks.
Stocks that seem poised to take off will always capture investors’ imaginations. But the lure of these stocks may be particularly strong during, or following, periods of market volatility, when investors are looking for bright spots.
It’s usually not such a good idea to chase hot stocks, and here’s why:
You may be relying on an unreliable source. You can get a hot-stock tip from anyone. People probably mean well, they may not be the market experts on whom you wish to rely. But even the so-called market gurus who tout stocks in magazines, on television or on the Internet may not be the best forecasters, so you’ll need to take their advice with a grain of salt, especially as they know nothing about your individual situation.
You may be too late. You may actually find a hot stock — but by the time you do, it’s also been discovered by a lot of other investors. This usually means one of two things: The stock has already peaked and is now starting to cool off, or the huge interest in the stock is driving up its price to an unsustainable level, given the stock’s earnings and other factors.
You’ll be buying high. Here’s the classic rule of investing: Buy low and sell high. It’s very good advice, except that it’s almost impossible to follow. After all, no one can really predict when a particular stock has reached its high or low points.
However, that doesn’t mean you shouldn’t at least try to pursue stocks whose current prices are low and thus may be good buys.
But if you’re purchasing a hot stock — one that, almost by definition, has risen sharply — you’ve probably already disqualified yourself from the “buy low” part of the formula, which means your stock may have less “upside” potential than other, cheaper stocks.
You may be buying a stock that doesn’t meet your needs. Some stocks — whether they’re hot, cold or in-between — are simply not right for your individual needs. For example, if you’ve built a diversified portfolio, and you already have the right amount of growth stocks, you might be throwing your holdings out of balance — and increasing your risk level to a point beyond your comfort zone — by purchasing another growth stock, no matter how hot it seems.
Diversification is important, but it cannot, by itself, guarantee a profit or protect against a loss.
Ultimately, instead of chasing after hot stocks, evaluate each stock on its own merits and prospects and on how it fits into your existing holdings. A qualified financial advisor can assist you in selecting those stocks that can help you achieve your objectives. By doing your research, and by getting the help you need, you may not always nab the hottest stocks — but you’ll be less likely to be scorched.

Dusty Babitzke is a financial adviser for Edward Jones
Investments. He has served his clients for eight years from his office in Crowley. He may be reached at 817-297-2009.


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